Prior to the votes being counted in the 2022 Danish Parliamentary elections, we looked at five possible scenarios for forming the new government (plus a bonus option). In the end, a coalition government composed of the Social Democrats, Venstre and the Moderates formed, with Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen presenting the queen with the new government on December 13, 2022.
A Red Government
A red government (Socialdemokratiet, SF, Radikale Venstre, Enhedslisten, Alternativet and the North-Atlantic mandates) with a majority of 90 mandates.
A Blue Government
A blue government (Venstre, Konservative, Liberal Alliance, DF, Nye Borgerlige, Danmarksdemokraterne + Moderaterne and Radikale Venstre) with a majority of 95 mandates. This would happen only if Radikale Venstre switches from the red block. If that happens, we would have a new prime minister. This would be political suicide for both Moderaterne and Radikale Venstre, as they would have to govern with their nemesis parties from the far-right.
A Red-Blue Government
A red-blue government (Socialdemokratiet, Venstre, Moderaterne and Radikale Venstre) with a majority of 96 mandates. All four parties want a broad government over the middle so it is one of the most likely scenarios. However, Venstre is still on the fence as by joining the government, they would lose the status as leaders of the opposition.
A Red-Purple Government
A red-purple government (Socialdemokratiet, SF, Radikale Venstre, Moderaterne and the North-Atlantic mandates) with a majority of 91 mandates.
A Union Government
A union government (Socialdemokratiet, Venstre, Konservative, SF and Radikale Venstre) with a majority of 105 mandates. These five parties have reached a “national compromise” before with regards to defense spending. However, Konservative are against joining a government led by Mette Frederiksen.
New Elections
Or new elections. In 2019, it took 20 days for Mette Frederiksen to form the government. Now it could take at least a month.
